Weather experts from around the country meet in South Padre Island for the National Tropical Weather Conference. It’s a three-day event that covers research, meteorology and has the first look at the 2019 Hurricane Forecast. It’s an event dedicated to empowering safety and simplifying information.
It’s also where experts can find the first seasonal forecast from Colorado State University. In 2019, it calls for a ‘slightly below normal hurricane season’.
Dr Phil Klotzbach, Research scientist – Colorado State University, “A total of 13 named storms. Of those 13, 5 becoming hurricanes. Of those 5, 2 becoming major category 3,4,5 hurricanes.”
Last year 11 to 16 named storms were predicted and up to 9 hurricanes. In 2017, 11 named storms, 4 hurricanes, and 2 major hurricanes. Despite lower numbers this year, experts advise that you should not rely entirely on the seasonal forecast and be prepared every year.
Dr Phil Klotzbach, “We have many seasons in the past that were either below average, average that have lots of storm making landfall and we can’t predict that storms are going to make landfall months in advance.”
Preparation is key. The Rio Grande Valley had a rude awaking of how devastating storms can be. Known as the June Floods of 2018, mid valley residents saw over 3 feet of water, millions of dollars in damage, and an emergency declaration was issued.
Dr Phil Klotzbach, “Be prepared the same, this hurricane season and every hurricane season.”
The annual forecast is updated 3 more times throughout the year with August being one of the most active months.