POSTED: Wednesday, September 18, 2013 - 3:25pm
UPDATED: Wednesday, September 18, 2013 - 3:56pm
RIO GRANDE VALLEY, TX (KVEO NEWSCENTER 23) — Tropical weather outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL 2:00 p.m. EDT Wednesday, September 18, 2013.
Satellite images and surface observations from Mexico indicate that the broad area of low pressure is now centered over the Gulf of Mexico west of the Yucatan Peninsula.
The associated shower activity is currently poorly organized and the hurricane hunter mission scheduled for this afternoon has been canceled.
This system is expected to move west northwestward over the Southwestern Gulf of Mexico during the next couple of days where environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for the formation of a tropical depression.
This system has a high chance, 70 percent, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours and a high chance, 80 percent, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next five days.
Regardless of development, this disturbance will likely spread heavy rains over portions of Eastern Mexico and could cause life-threatening floods and mudslides over areas already impacted by torrential rains during the past several days.