RIO GRANDE VALLEY, TX (KVEO NEWSCENTER 23) — Tropical weather outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL 8:00 a.m. EDT Wednesday, September 18, 2013.
Satellite images and surface observations from Mexico indicate that the broad area of low pressure is centered near the West coast of the Yucatan Peninsula.
This system is expected to move over the Bay of Campeche and the Southwestern Gulf of Mexico during the next couple of days.
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for the formation of a tropical depression. This system has a high chance, 70 percent, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours and a high chance, 80 percent, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next five days.
An Air Force reserve hurricane hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system later today, if necessary.
Regardless of development, this disturbance will likely spread heavy rains over portions of Eastern Mexico and could cause life-threatening floods and mudslides over areas already impacted by torrential rains during the past several days.