Tropical weather outlook in the Gulf of Mexico

Tropical weather outlook in the Gulf of Mexico
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POSTED: Thursday, September 19, 2013 - 11:52am

UPDATED: Thursday, September 19, 2013 - 11:59am

Tropical weather outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL 8:00 a.m. EDT Thursday, September 19, 2013.

An area of low pressure located over the Southwestern Gulf of Mexico is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity near the coast of the Bay of Campeche.

Conditions still appear conducive for the formation of a tropical depression during the next day or two and an Air Force Reserve hurricane hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the low this afternoon, if necessary.

This system has has a high chance, 70%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours while it moves West-Northwestward to Northwestward at 5 to 10 mph and a high chance, 80%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next five days.

This disturbance will likely spread heavy rain over portions of Eastern and Southern Mexico and could cause life-threatening floods and mudslides over areas already impacted by torrential rain during the past several days.

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